After a week in England, my optimism for England victory should have been bouyed, but after another flat game on Sunday, it appears that the best chance for England would be for all the good teams to knock each other out leaving England to play Ukraine in the final. After such a good tournament, this would be the ultimate travesty.
I think the games will shake out something like this :
Germany 1 3 Argentina
Italy 0 2 Ukraine
England 3 2 Portugal
Brazil 3 2 France
England probably shouldn't beat Portugal, but for some reason (blind lunacy), I think they might avenge their Euro 2004 exit. To then go on and beat Brazil, and then Argentina is way too much to ask from a team that can barely string two passes together against Trinidad & Tobago...
In terms of the teams left, the odds on Argentina winning have now narrowed. If my account hadn't have ben wiped out by ludicrous early tournament bets, I'd stick a pound on Portugal at 14/1.
posted by Andy Lepki @ 9:55 AM
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